Liga MX · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 02:00
Necaxa vs Tijuana Prediction, Tips & Odds
Full time 1-0 · Tip “Double chance X2” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 02:00), Necaxa host Tijuana.
The situation: Necaxa have gone 8 games without a win – Tijuana are on course for the play-offs
After 15 games, Necaxa are in position 17 with 10 points. Tijuana have collected 22 points and sit in position 6. Goal difference: 16-28 for Necaxa, 25-21 for Tijuana. Necaxa have nothing left to play for in the table. Tijuana currently occupy a play-off place, but only one point clear.
Form guide Necaxa: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against Atlas (0-2) and América (2-4). Against Juárez (1-1) they could only draw. Necaxa picked up no wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
Form guide Tijuana: Winless on the road
On the road, Tijuana recently played 3-3 at Monterrey, 1-1 at América and 2-2 at Toluca. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 5 draws, no defeats, 9-9 goals. Tijuana scored in every one of those games.
Necaxa at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Tijuana away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Necaxa vs Tijuana
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Necaxa have no known absentees.
Tijuana are without: Gilberto Mora (ankle injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Liga MX: Liga MX goalscorer tips.
Liga MX table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlas | 15 | 26-26 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 31-21 | 24 |
| 6 | Tijuana | 15 | 25-21 | 22 |
| 7 | León | 15 | 22-20 | 22 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 21-20 | 22 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 15-22 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 15 | 16-24 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 15 | 16-28 | 10 |
| 18 | Juárez | 15 | 12-34 | 8 |
Necaxa vs Tijuana odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.45, draw 3.10 and a Tijuana win 2.75. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.62.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa to win | 2.45 | 37% | 36% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29% | 27% |
| Tijuana to win | 2.75 | 33% | 37% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.45 | 67% | 63% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.55 | 63% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 78% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 56% | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 44% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 37% | 38% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.45 | 63% | 62% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Necaxa vs Tijuana
In short: We are backing Double chance X2 at odds of 1.55. Our score prediction: 1-1. We put the chance at around 64%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Necaxa lost 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 11 places apart in the table, in favour of the visitors.
Against
- Tijuana are missing 1 player.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.55 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Necaxa vs Tijuana
When do Necaxa play Tijuana?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 02:00 (Liga MX).
Who are the favourites in Necaxa vs Tijuana?
Necaxa are favourites: a home win pays 2.45, a Tijuana win 2.75.
What is the tip for Necaxa vs Tijuana?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.55. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Necaxa and Tijuana go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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