Brazilian Série B · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 20:10
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Novorizontino · Fortaleza
Full time 2-1 · Tip “Under 2.5 goals” lost
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 20:10), Novorizontino host Fortaleza.
The situation: Novorizontino are playing out the season – Fortaleza are playing out the season
After 19 games, Novorizontino are in position 2 with 34 points. Fortaleza have collected 34 points and sit in position 4. Goal difference: 34-17 for Novorizontino, 23-15 for Fortaleza. Novorizontino have nothing left to play for in the table. Fortaleza have nothing left to play for in the table.
Form guide Novorizontino: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Operario-PR (2-1) and Ponte Preta (5-1). Against São Bernardo (0-0) they could only draw. Novorizontino picked up 3 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
Form guide Fortaleza: Strong away too
On the road, Fortaleza recently played 2-2 at Ponte Preta, 2-0 at Sport Recife and 1-0 at América Mineiro. Record in the last 5 away games: 4 wins, 1 draw, no defeats, 8-3 goals. Fortaleza scored in every one of those games.
Novorizontino at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Fortaleza away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Rarely many goals
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-0 to Fortaleza (Fortaleza vs Novorizontino, 18/07/2026).
- 18/07/2026 Fortaleza – Novorizontino 1-0
Injuries and suspensions
Novorizontino have no known absentees.
Fortaleza are without: Gabriel Fuentes (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Brazilian Série B: Brazilian Série B goalscorer tips.
Brazilian Série B table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRB | 20 | 30-22 | 36 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 19 | 34-17 | 34 |
| 3 | Atletico GO | 20 | 24-14 | 34 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 20 | 23-15 | 34 |
| 5 | Juventude | 18 | 28-17 | 33 |
| 6 | Vila Nova FC | 19 | 27-19 | 32 |
Novorizontino vs Fortaleza odds
The bookmakers make Novorizontino clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.57, a draw 3.50 and a Fortaleza win 4.90. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.93.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino to win | 1.57 | 57% | 50% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25% | 27% |
| Fortaleza to win | 4.90 | 18% | 23% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.16 | 82% | 77% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.75 | 43% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 72% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 47% | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 53% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 28% | 24% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.27 | 72% | 76% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Novorizontino vs Fortaleza
In short: We are backing Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72. Our score prediction: 1-0. We put the chance at around 57%, while the odds imply only 53%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Fortaleza’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- At home, Novorizontino saw three or more goals in 3 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 2.5 goals · Odds 1.72 · Prediction 1-0 · Risk medium
FAQ: Novorizontino vs Fortaleza
When do Novorizontino play Fortaleza?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 20:10 (Brazilian Série B).
Who are the favourites in Novorizontino vs Fortaleza?
Novorizontino are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.57, a Fortaleza win 4.90.
What is the tip for Novorizontino vs Fortaleza?
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.72. We expect a 1-0. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Novorizontino and Fortaleza go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 1-0 to Fortaleza (Fortaleza vs Novorizontino, 18/07/2026).
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