Liga MX · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 02:00
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Tigres UANL · Cruz Azul
Full time 2-3 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” lost
Odds as of: Sa 07/11 · 16:28 · Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul on Sunday (8 November, 02:00).
The situation: Tigres UANL have gone 5 games without a win – Cruz Azul have won 5 games in a row
Cruz Azul are in position 1 with 32 points, ahead of the hosts (15 points, position 15). Goal difference: 17-25 for Tigres UANL, 37-26 for Cruz Azul. Tigres UANL have nothing left to play for in the table. Cruz Azul have already secured their season target.
Form guide Tigres UANL: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Toluca (3-2). There were also defeats against Cruz Azul (2-3) and León (0-2). Tigres UANL picked up 2 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Form guide Cruz Azul: Strong away too
On the road, Cruz Azul recently played 3-2 at Tigres UANL, 3-1 at Querétaro and 2-1 at Pachuca. Record in the last 5 away games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 11-8 goals. Cruz Azul scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Tigres UANL at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Cruz Azul away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Goals expected
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 2-3 to Cruz Azul (Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul, 07/11/2026).
- 07/11/2026 Tigres UANL – Cruz Azul 2-3
Injuries and suspensions
Tigres UANL are without: Marcelo Flores (cruciate ligament injury), Marco Farfán (muscle injury).
Cruz Azul are without: Amaury Morales (cruciate ligament injury), Mateo Levy (meniscus injury), Cristian Jiménez (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Liga MX: Liga MX goalscorer tips.
Liga MX table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37-26 | 32 |
| 2 | América | 15 | 36-21 | 29 |
| 3 | CD Guadalajara | 15 | 25-14 | 29 |
| 13 | Atlético de San Luis | 16 | 19-24 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 17-23 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17-25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante | 16 | 16-26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17-28 | 13 |
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul odds
Cruz Azul are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.87, a draw 3.70, a home win 3.40. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55.
Odds as of: Sa 07/11 · 16:28
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL to win | 3.40 | 27% | 30% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25% | 24% |
| Cruz Azul to win | 1.87 | 49% | 47% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.80 | 51% | 53% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.20 | 73% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 79% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 59% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 41% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 39% | 41% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.50 | 61% | 59% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 61%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 2 of Tigres UANL’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
Against
- Away from home, Cruz Azul saw three or more goals in 4 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.50 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul
When do Tigres UANL play Cruz Azul?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 02:00 (Liga MX).
Who are the favourites in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Cruz Azul are favourites: an away win pays 1.87, a home win 3.40.
What is the tip for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul go?
The only meeting in the last two seasons ended 2-3 to Cruz Azul (Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul, 07/11/2026).
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