Superettan · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 15:00
Varnamo vs Norrkoping Prediction, Tips & Odds
Team pages: Varnamo · Norrkoping
Full time 0-2 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
It is Varnamo vs Norrkoping on Saturday (7 November, 15:00).
The situation: Varnamo are stuck in mid-table – Norrkoping sit top of the table
Norrkoping are in position 1 with 51 points, ahead of the hosts (25 points, position 10). Goal difference: 24-29 for Varnamo, 46-10 for Norrkoping.
Form guide Varnamo: Still winless at home
Recent home defeats came against Sandviken (0-1), Falkenberg (1-2) and Öster (1-3). Varnamo picked up no wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Form guide Norrkoping: Strong away too
On the road, Norrkoping recently played 4-0 at Norrby, 3-1 at Öster and 2-0 at Varberg. Record in the last 5 away games: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats, 16-3 goals. Norrkoping scored in every one of those games.
Varnamo at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Norrkoping away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Varnamo vs Norrkoping
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
Injuries and suspensions
Varnamo have no known absentees.
Norrkoping are without: Stephen Bolma (knee injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Superettan table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 20 | 46-10 | 51 |
| 2 | Landskrona | 19 | 35-22 | 34 |
| 3 | Ostersund | 20 | 23-16 | 34 |
| 8 | Varberg | 19 | 26-26 | 27 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 20 | 28-33 | 26 |
| 10 | Varnamo | 20 | 24-29 | 25 |
| 11 | Ljungskile | 19 | 27-27 | 24 |
| 12 | Helsingborg | 20 | 19-33 | 18 |
Varnamo vs Norrkoping odds
Despite playing away, Norrkoping are clear favourites with the bookmakers. An away win pays just 1.20, a draw 5.00, a home win 12.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.35.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Varnamo to win | 12.00 | 7% | 9% |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18% | 18% |
| Norrkoping to win | 1.20 | 75% | 73% |
| Double chance 1X | 2.00 | 25% | 27% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.12 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 84% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.35 | 67% | 62% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 33% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.93 | 47% | 41% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.72 | 53% | 59% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Varnamo vs Norrkoping
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.72. We expect a 0-2. We put the chance at around 59%, while the odds imply only 53%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Only 2 of Varnamo’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
Against
- Away from home, Norrkoping saw three or more goals in 4 of 5 games.
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 5 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.72 · Prediction 0-2 · Risk medium
FAQ: Varnamo vs Norrkoping
When do Varnamo play Norrkoping?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 15:00 (Superettan).
Who are the favourites in Varnamo vs Norrkoping?
Norrkoping are clear favourites: an away win pays 1.20, a home win 12.00.
What is the tip for Varnamo vs Norrkoping?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.72. We expect a 0-2. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Varnamo and Norrkoping go?
The two sides have not met in the league in the last two seasons, so form and the table matter most here.
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