Serie A · Sunday, 08/11/2026 · 12:30
Napoli vs Lazio Prediction, Tips & Odds
Full time 1-1 · Tip “Double chance X2” won
Odds as of: Su 08/11 · 07:18 · Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
Betting BlogNapoli vs Lazio prediction: depleted Napoli host leaders LazioIn-depth analysis with team news and tactics · Tip: Double chance X2 1.50On Sunday (8 November, 12:30), Napoli host Lazio.
The situation: Napoli are chasing Europe – Lazio have won 6 games in a row
Lazio are in position 1 with 28 points, ahead of the hosts (14 points, position 10). Goal difference: 17-13 for Napoli, 24-8 for Lazio. Napoli are 5 points off a Conference League place. Lazio currently occupy first place, but only 2 points clear.
Form guide Napoli: Inconsistent at home
Recent home wins came against Frosinone (3-0) and Bologna (1-0). Against Roma (3-3) they could only draw. Napoli picked up 2 wins from their last 4 home games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Lazio: Strong away too
On the road, Lazio recently played 6-2 at Sassuolo, 3-0 at Juventus and 2-0 at Venezia. Record in the last 5 away games: 5 wins, no draws, no defeats, 14-3 goals. Lazio scored in every one of those games.
Napoli at home, last 4 (oldest → newest)
Lazio away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Napoli, 1 win for Lazio, 0 draws. There were 2.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-2 (Napoli vs Lazio, 18/04/2026).
- 18/04/2026 Napoli – Lazio 0-2
- 04/01/2026 Lazio – Napoli 0-2
Injuries and suspensions
Napoli are without: Alisson Santos (thigh injury), Alessandro Buongiorno (knee injury), David Neres (thigh injury), Benoît Badiashile (thigh injury), Mathias Olivera (muscle injury).
Lazio are without: Kenneth Taylor (suspended), Nicolo Rovella (suspended), Albert Gudmundsson (shoulder injury), Nuno Tavares (suspended), Mattia Zaccagni (thigh injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Serie A: Serie A goalscorer tips.
Serie A table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24-8 | 28 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 31-10 | 27 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 10 | 26-13 | 25 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16-14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10-15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 17-13 | 14 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15-17 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 10-14 | 13 |
Napoli vs Lazio odds
The bookmakers expect a close game. Home win 2.35, draw 3.60 and a Lazio win 2.80. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55.
Odds as of: Su 08/11 · 07:18
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to win | 2.35 | 40% | 35% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26% | 25% |
| Lazio to win | 2.80 | 34% | 41% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.42 | 66% | 59% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.50 | 60% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 81% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 39% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 38% | 39% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.50 | 62% | 61% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Napoli vs Lazio
In short: Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 65%, while the odds imply only 60%. That is where the value in this bet lies.
For
- Lazio won 5 of their last 5 away games.
- 9 places apart in the table, in favour of the visitors.
Against
- Lazio are missing 5 players.
Tip: Double chance X2 · Odds 1.50 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk medium
FAQ: Napoli vs Lazio
When do Napoli play Lazio?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 08/11/2026, at 12:30 (Serie A).
Who are the favourites in Napoli vs Lazio?
Napoli are favourites: a home win pays 2.35, a Lazio win 2.80.
What is the tip for Napoli vs Lazio?
Our tip is Double chance X2 at odds of 1.50. We expect a 1-1. Risk: medium.
How did recent meetings between Napoli and Lazio go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Napoli, 1 win for Lazio, 0 draws. There were 2.0 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-2 (Napoli vs Lazio, 18/04/2026).
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