Serie A · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 18:00
Parma vs Bologna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Full time 1-2 · Tip “Under 3.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
On Saturday (7 November, 18:00), Parma face Bologna in front of their own fans.
The situation: Parma are in a relegation battle – Bologna have won 3 games in a row
After 10 games, Parma are in position 15 with 8 points. Bologna have collected 14 points and sit in position 9. Goal difference: 8-15 for Parma, 14-13 for Bologna. Parma are just one point above the relegation zone. Bologna are just 3 points off a Conference League place.
Form guide Parma: Inconsistent at home
At home they recently beat Genoa (2-1). There was also a defeat against Torino (0-3). Against Udinese (0-0) they could only draw. Parma picked up 1 win from their last 5 home games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Form guide Bologna: Strong away too
On the road, Bologna recently played 4-2 at Milan, 2-0 at Cagliari and 2-1 at Lecce. Record in the last 5 away games: 3 wins, no draws, 2 defeats, 8-5 goals. Bologna scored in 3 of those 5 games.
Parma at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Bologna away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Evenly matched record
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Parma, 1 win for Bologna, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-1 (Bologna vs Parma, 08/02/2026).
- 08/02/2026 Bologna – Parma 0-1
- 02/11/2025 Parma – Bologna 1-3
Injuries and suspensions
Parma are without: Adrián Bernabé (thigh injury), Lautaro Valenti (suspension), Dominik Drobnic (foot injury).
Bologna are without: Emil Holm (thigh injury), Jay Enem (Achilles tendon injury), Lorenzo De Silvestri (thigh injury), Antonio Raimondo (ankle injury), Thomas Gillier (back problems).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Serie A: Serie A goalscorer tips.
Serie A table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13-10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 17-13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 14-13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 14-16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 10-14 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16-20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 11-21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 8-15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15-23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 16-26 | 8 |
Parma vs Bologna odds
Bologna are slight favourites: an away win pays 1.67, a draw 3.60, a home win 5.50. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.05.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma to win | 5.50 | 17% | 21% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26% | 26% |
| Bologna to win | 1.67 | 57% | 52% |
| Double chance 1X | 2.10 | 43% | 48% |
| Double chance X2 | 1.11 | 83% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 46% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 54% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 26% | 25% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.25 | 74% | 75% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Parma vs Bologna
In short: Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25. We expect a 1-1. We put the chance at around 75%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- Only 2 of Parma’s last 5 home games had three or more goals.
- Only 2 of Bologna’s last 5 away games had three or more goals.
Against
- There are outliers: one of these games recently had 6 goals.
Tip: Under 3.5 goals · Odds 1.25 · Prediction 1-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Parma vs Bologna
When do Parma play Bologna?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 18:00 (Serie A).
Who are the favourites in Parma vs Bologna?
Bologna are favourites: an away win pays 1.67, a home win 5.50.
What is the tip for Parma vs Bologna?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.25. We expect a 1-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Parma and Bologna go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 1 win for Parma, 1 win for Bologna, 0 draws. There were 2.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 0-1 (Bologna vs Parma, 08/02/2026).
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