Serie A · Saturday, 07/11/2026 · 20:45
Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Full time 3-0 · Tip “Over 2.5 goals” won
Odds may change before kick-off · 18+ · not betting advice
5 home games, 4 wins, 14-5 goals. Roma are hard to beat at home. On Saturday (7 November, 20:45), Sassuolo visit.
The situation: Roma are in the title race – Sassuolo have gone 6 games without a win
After 10 games, Roma are in position 3 with 24 points. Sassuolo have collected 8 points and sit in position 17. Goal difference: 28-10 for Roma, 16-26 for Sassuolo. Roma are just 2 points off first place. Sassuolo are just one point above the relegation zone.
Form guide Roma: Strong at home
Recent home wins came against Cagliari (4-2) and Genoa (2-0). Against Inter Milan (2-2) they could only draw. Roma picked up 4 wins from their last 5 home games, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Form guide Sassuolo: A problem on the road
On the road, Sassuolo recently played 0-2 at Como, 2-4 at Frosinone and 1-2 at Monza. Record in the last 5 away games: no wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats, 6-12 goals. Sassuolo scored in 4 of those 5 games.
Roma at home, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Sassuolo away, last 5 (oldest → newest)
Head-to-head: Rarely many goals
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Roma, no wins for Sassuolo, 0 draws. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-0 (Roma vs Sassuolo, 10/01/2026).
- 10/01/2026 Roma – Sassuolo 2-0
- 26/10/2025 Sassuolo – Roma 0-1
Injuries and suspensions
Roma are without: Wesley (suspended), Mile Svilar (fracture), Gianluca Mancini (muscle injury), Devyne Rensch (adductor injury), Lorenzo Pellegrini (thigh injury).
Sassuolo are without: Ismaël Koné (fracture), Jay Idzes (suspended), Cristian Volpato (muscle injury), Domenico Berardi (injury), Fedde Leysen (cruciate ligament injury).
Late absences on matchday may not be included yet.
Who will score?
Top scorers, odds and striker form – Serie A: Serie A goalscorer tips.
Serie A table
| Pos | Team | P | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24-8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 26-13 | 25 |
| 3 | Roma | 10 | 28-10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18-8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21-12 | 21 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 8-15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15-23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 16-26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 17-24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8-21 | 6 |
Roma vs Sassuolo odds
The bookmakers make Roma clear favourites. A home win pays just 1.30, a draw 6.00 and a Sassuolo win 8.00. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.35.
| Bet | Odds | implied by odds | our view |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to win | 1.30 | 73% | 69% |
| Draw | 6.00 | 16% | 17% |
| Sassuolo to win | 8.00 | 12% | 14% |
| Double chance 1X | 1.02 | 88% | 86% |
| Double chance X2 | 3.50 | 27% | 31% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 87% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.35 | 70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.87 | 50% | 50% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 1.85 | 50% | 50% |
“Implied by odds”: the probability contained in the odds (without the bookmaker margin). “Our view”: the odds and our statistical model combined.
Betting tip & prediction: Roma vs Sassuolo
In short: Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35. We expect a 2-1. We put the chance at around 70%. The odds reflect that quite accurately, so this tip is no bargain.
For
- 4 of Roma’s last 5 home games produced three or more goals.
- For Sassuolo away it was 4 of 5.
Against
- Roma kept 2 clean sheets at home.
- Roma are without 5 players.
- Sassuolo are missing 5 players.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals · Odds 1.35 · Prediction 2-1 · Risk low
FAQ: Roma vs Sassuolo
When do Roma play Sassuolo?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 07/11/2026, at 20:45 (Serie A).
Who are the favourites in Roma vs Sassuolo?
Roma are clear favourites: a home win pays 1.30, a Sassuolo win 8.00.
What is the tip for Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.35. We expect a 2-1. Risk: low.
How did recent meetings between Roma and Sassuolo go?
Record in the last 2 meetings: 2 wins for Roma, no wins for Sassuolo, 0 draws. There were only 1.5 goals per game on average. Their last meeting ended 2-0 (Roma vs Sassuolo, 10/01/2026).
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